On Tuesday November 16 2021 22:37, you wrote to me:
DP>>> It could probably happen to EU if we'll stop gas export today ;) DP>>> Millions fronzen till death during coming winter.
MV>> If you cut the gas, we will cut the flow of tulips. ;-)
DP> Lets send more refugees to EU borders! ;)
You want to be complicit to human trafficing?
MV>> Seriously:
DP> I am playing devil's advocate right now, so don't take dead serious DP> but many people thinks exactly this way.
MV>> Don't underestimate the EU. The EU is the third largest economy MV>> in the world. After the US and China. Russia's economy is a dwarf MV>> compared to the EU.
DP> Yes, but EU is too soft, too divided and major powers (French and DP> Germany) got a long history of high level bribery and corruption.
When push comes to shove, the EU will act in unision.
MV>> Millions frozen when Russia cuts the gas? Hardly. Cutting the gas MV>> will be inconvenient, it will not kill us. But it will certainly MV>> /annoy/ us. You do not want to annoy the third economy in the MV>> world. The EU needs the Russian gas, but Russia also needs the MV>> EU. If you cut the gas, the payments for the gas will also stop. MV>> Plus many other things...
DP> Check gas prices - they are skyrocketing.
A good reason for you to not cut the gas, you will miss the income, and a good reason for us to expediate weaning of the gas. We are doing that anyway.
DP> Arab oil monarchies in 70s already used oil as a weapon against USA DP> and Europe and they are still ok.
What did they acomplish? Yes, I remember the fuel being rationed. It was inconvenient but no millions of people freezing to death. And winters were colder back then. We survived, so what was achieved?
DP> Russia can stop gas supply for Poland but keep it for Germany. Why DP> not?
Because Poland is part of the EU and Poland will share the gas with the rest of the EU. When push comes to shove the EU unites.
MV>> Don't annoy the Dragon.
DP> It's not a Dragon, it's a guy next door who is too calm and soft to DP> stop giving his aggressive neighbor money when he needs them.
It's the economy stupid, the economy.
When comparing economics, the EU is a dragon compared to Russia.
