= Сообщение: 8998 из 12491 ====================================== ENET.SYSOP = От : David Rance 2:203/2 17 Oct 19 15:51:26 Кому : Michiel van der Vlist 17 Oct 19 15:51:26 Тема : Brexit FGHI : area://ENET.SYSOP?msgid=2:203/2+5da871d8 На : area://ENET.SYSOP?msgid=2:280/5555+5da84dd8 = Кодировка сообщения определена как: ASCII ================================== Ответ: area://ENET.SYSOP?msgid=2:280/5555+5da88f7c ============================================================================== On Thu, 17 Oct 2019 13:11:11 Michiel van der Vlist -> David Rance wrote:
MvdV> On Thursday October 17 2019 11:41, you wrote to me:
DR>> As I write this a news flash has come through on my phone that BJ and DR>> the EU "have agreed a great new deal!"
DR>> Ho, hum!
MvdV> Yes, it is official now. Barnier announced it. The miracle has happened!
MvdV> First hurdle is now the EU leaders. I expect the EU leaders to go along MvdV> later today or tomorrow.
MvdV> And then "Super Saturday".
MvdV> The DUP and Labour have said "no, as it stands".
MvdV> So BJ still has some convincing to do. It is unclear to me if this will MvdV> be what you call a "free vote". In the latter case, there still is a MvdV> chance.
MvdV> It would ver veru stupid for the UK parliament to reject the desal. To MvdV> me it seems a last chance to avoid a no-del Brexit. So I hope they come MvdV> to their senses. We will see.
MvdV> It will be interesting to watch.
Just had a news flash that Jean-Paul Juncker has ruled out granted another extension. Presumably that's because BJ has asked that we shouldn't have one. But surely that's up to the 27?
BJ has done this in order to try to force an acceptance of the deal through Parliament on Saturday. But, knowing our MPs, that is not necessarily going to work! Agreed, it would now be stupid to vote it down but the problem is that the Brits just don't like being told what to do.
Well, one can't say that BJ lacks leadership. In itself he's achieved a miracle in getting the negotiations reopened and the agreement changed (albeit a little) when he had been told it was impossible. I think there is grudging respect here for what he has done. That may be enough to get him through. If he succeeds then he'll call a general election and will probably win. That in itself is enough for the Opposition to try to vote him down on Saturday. In *that" case, when BJ calls a general election, he will still win as the country will perceive Jeremy Corbyn's opposition to the deal as simply a political manoeuvre.
Watch this space ...
David
-- Formerly ICHTHUS (Reading) UK (1987-2007 R.I.P.) (2:292/854.110)
