= Сообщение: 9512 из 12490 ====================================== ENET.SYSOP = От : Gerrit Kuehn 2:240/12 07 Apr 20 16:56:58 Кому : Michiel van der Vlist 07 Apr 20 16:56:58 Тема : Johnson and COVID-19 FGHI : area://ENET.SYSOP?msgid=2:240/12+5e37ed9f На : area://ENET.SYSOP?msgid=2:280/5555+5e8c8b5d = Кодировка сообщения определена как: LATIN1 ================================= Ответ: area://ENET.SYSOP?msgid=2:280/5555+5e8cd43c ============================================================================== Hello Michiel!
07 Apr 20 16:11, Michiel van der Vlist wrote to Gerrit Kuehn:
MvdV> The goal may be sane, but hardly realistic. Estimated minimum MvdV> coverage fo flock immunity is 60%. Without overloading the health MvdV> system it will probably take two to three years to reach that MvdV> nummber.
Nobody knows as nobody knows how many immune (formerly infected) people there already are. Thus we don't know how large the number of people who need to be hospitalised actually will be. We need large-scale tests for immunity to tell. These will hopefully be available soon.
MvdV> Keeping the country in semi lockdown for two to three MvdV> years?
Hardly possible, either (depending on what "semi" might actually be).
