= Сообщение: 9517 из 12490 ====================================== ENET.SYSOP = От : Gerrit Kuehn 2:240/12 08 Apr 20 11:01:10 Кому : Fabio Bizzi 08 Apr 20 11:01:10 Тема : Johnson and COVID-19 FGHI : area://ENET.SYSOP?msgid=2:240/12+5e37eda2 На : area://ENET.SYSOP?msgid=2:335/364.1+5e8d78be = Кодировка сообщения определена как: LATIN1 ================================= ============================================================================== Hello Fabio!
08 Apr 20 09:09, Fabio Bizzi wrote to Gerrit Kuehn:
GK>> time. So while the way Britain went is certainly questionable, the GK>> goal is perfectly sane.
FB> I'm not allowed to answer to this question, but the WHO is it.
But you're allowed and encouraged to think, aren't you?
FB> And the WHO directives are clear, in this phase the best thing to do FB> is to limit the spread of the virus and the only way to do it is the FB> lockdown fullstop.
You're right, the WHO is right, and I didn't mean to say anything different: *in* *this* *phase*.
FB> And, IMHO, to broadcast to the whole nation that flock immunity is FB> the answer, at the beginning of a pandemic, is arrogant, stupid and FB> downbylaw.
This is exactly what I was trying to say: the way was utterly wrong, starting on wrong assumptions and no data at all.
FB> Flock immunity is the ability to not spread the infection because the FB> most of the guests are immune, obtaini the immunity without the help FB> of a vaccine has a too high cost in human lifes because to develop it FB> without the help of a vaccine need too much time and the most of the FB> guests would dead in the meantime.
This is what we don't know yet, because we don't have sufficient data to tell how a random guest or different kinds of guests really react to the virus. Until then we'll have to be very careful. OTOH, developing a vaccine will take many months, too (probably something between 1 and 2 years), no country can be run in lockdown for a time that long.
