= Сообщение: 9560 из 12491 ====================================== ENET.SYSOP = От : Gerrit Kuehn 2:240/12 12 Apr 20 09:58:10 Кому : Björn Felten 12 Apr 20 09:58:10 Тема : Europe and COVID-19 FGHI : area://ENET.SYSOP?msgid=2:240/12+5e37edae На : area://ENET.SYSOP?msgid=2:203/2+5e9235b6 = Кодировка сообщения определена как: LATIN1 ================================= Ответ: area://ENET.SYSOP?msgid=2:203/2+5e92e538 ============================================================================== Hello Björn!
11 Apr 20 23:25, Björn Felten wrote to Gerrit Kuehn:
GK>> You cannot have read about this "several weeks ago" because these GK>> numbers have been reached just now (or yesterday).
BF> I didn't say that. I said that I read about the mathematical model BF> several weeks ago. Duh.
Again: A statistical model requires random sampling to produce reliable estimates. The samples aren't random, you don't even know how much they deviate from being random because there is simply not enough data available. If the available data sufficed for proper estimations, this would have to be a rather new result as it would come with the latest data. I cannot find any reference on this, and you cannot give any, either.