= Сообщение: 8985 из 12491 ====================================== ENET.SYSOP = От : Michiel van der Vlist 2:280/5555 14 Oct 19 23:37:52 Кому : David Rance 14 Oct 19 23:37:52 Тема : Brexit FGHI : area://ENET.SYSOP?msgid=2:280/5555+5da4f41e На : area://ENET.SYSOP?msgid=2:203/2+5da4e680 = Кодировка сообщения определена как: CP850 ================================== Ответ: area://ENET.SYSOP?msgid=2:280/5555+5da5bbf2 ============================================================================== Hello David,
On Monday October 14 2019 23:20, you wrote to me:
MvdV>> One or more of the 27 may consider a no deal the lesser evil.
DR> Not while they close ranks with Ireland. As long as Ireland thinks DR> there is a possibility of a deal, then all the other states will keep DR> the door open, i.e. they will grant another extension.
Hmm.. "Closing ranks" is not as firmly embedded in the culture of most continental European countries as it is in the Brittish. If Boris Johnson is bluffing and that aspect is part of his bluff, then he may make a mistake. Yes, so far the EU has closed ranks. Which is remarkable in itself, they have seldom been so united.
DR> The Irish foreign minister was today more upbeat about a deal while in DR> the past he had been very negative.
Which means that there still is a chance that a miracle will happen. But the EU is not Eton, when push comes to shove, each member will balance its own interest against that of the herd.
DR> The EU is keeping this going to support Ireland, not to pander to the DR> UK.
They sure will support Ireland. They will go at great length to avoid Ireland getting into "troubles" again. But not at all cost. Ireland is not the only EU member with interests. And once again, an extension requires a unanimous decision by all 27 members. It takes just ONE dissident member that considers "getting it over with" the lesser evil and that breaks the ranks to block an extension.
