DP>> It could probably happen to EU if we'll stop gas export today ;) DP>> Millions fronzen till death during coming winter.
MV> If you cut the gas, we will cut the flow of tulips. ;-)
Lets send more refugees to EU borders! ;)
MV> Seriously:
I am playing devil's advocate right now, so don't take dead serious but many people thinks exactly this way.
MV> Don't underestimate the EU. The EU is the third largest economy in the MV> world. After the US and China. Russia's economy is a dwarf compared to MV> the EU.
Yes, but EU is too soft, too divided and major powers (French and Germany) got a long history of high level bribery and corruption.
MV> Millions frozen when Russia cuts the gas? Hardly. Cutting the gas will MV> be inconvenient, it will not kill us. But it will certainly /annoy/ MV> us. You do not want to annoy the third economy in the world. The EU MV> needs the Russian gas, but Russia also needs the EU. If you cut the MV> gas, the payments for the gas will also stop. Plus many other MV> things...
Check gas prices - they are skyrocketing. Arab oil monarchies in 70s already used oil as a weapon against USA and Europe and they are still ok. Russia can stop gas supply for Poland but keep it for Germany. Why not?
MV> Don't annoy the Dragon.
It's not a Dragon, it's a guy next door who is too calm and soft to stop giving his aggressive neighbor money when he needs them. And police (USA) is too busy with their own problems ;)